2013 年，美国当时的总统奥巴马为了推动控枪法案，下令美国疾病控制中心（Center for Disease Control—CDC）进行一项有关美国枪支暴力和犯罪的研究（“Priorities For Research to Reduce the Threat of Firearm-Related Violence”），同时拨款1千万美元。当时媒体一片欢呼，认为是控枪进程的一个里程碑。研究报告发布以后，政府和媒体全部沉默，没有人再提，这个耗费巨资写成的报告被束之高阁。为什么？因为研究的结果和奥巴马以及媒体预料的完全相反。这个报告在拉斯维加斯枪案后被人找了出来，我把研究总结翻译成中文给大家看看。总结的英文原文附在中文之后。
我认为这个CDC的研究数据是准确的，结论是公正的，尤其是在当时控枪呼声很高，从民间到总统都支持控枪。 CDC能够给出这个研究结论体现了研究结果的公正。
原文链接： https://www.cnsnews.com/blog/craig-bannister/obama-study-concluded-firearms-used-self-defense-important-crime-deterrent
研究报告的全文140页可以在这里下载（http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18319）。 --原文开始-- 美国疾病控制中心（Center for Disease Control—CDC）在一项由前总统奥巴马下令进行的有关减少枪支暴力的研究项目结束后的结论是：“【拥枪】自卫是阻止和减少犯罪的一个重要手段”。 研究的结果对当前的控枪法案的有效性也提出了疑问。 这一项耗资一千万（$10 million）的研究是由前总统奥巴马在2013年1月通过总统令的形式签发执行的。 研究的结论包括： 1. 枪支是最安全的自卫手段。 2. 大多数和枪支有关的死亡都是自杀。 3. 罪犯手里的枪很少是偷来的，而且没有证据证明限枪法案或者措施能够减少枪支暴力。 4. 通过对真实用枪自卫案件（受害人使用枪支袭击或者威胁罪犯）的直接研究发现用枪自卫的受害人的受伤比例一直都明显要少于用其他方法自卫的受害人。 研究还发现大多数因枪死亡的事件都是自杀，不是杀人，“在2000 年至2010 年间，用枪自杀的数目要高于用枪杀人的数目，无论在那个年龄范围，占每年枪支暴力死亡人数的 61%, 10年间美国因枪支暴力死亡的人数大概在335，600 人。” “大多数罪犯坦白他们的枪都是从不正当渠道获取的，只有很少一部分是偷来的。“ 研究报告也对控枪手段有效性提出了疑问，“限枪手段是不是真正减少了枪支暴力是一个没有定论的问题，没有证据显示通过了公民隐蔽持枪法案以后犯罪率是增加了还是减少了。”，“那些所谓的上缴枪支的活动没有什么效果”。 研究人员建议使用一些枪支安全的技术来减少枪支造成的伤亡，比如枪锁，和利用生物特征的安全系统，比如指纹锁。 --原文翻译结束--
-- 英文原文 -- “Self-defense can be an important crime deterrent,”concluded a study by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) mandated viaexecutive order by President Barack Obama. The findings also question theeffectiveness of gun-control measures. The $10 million study was commissioned by President BarackObama as part of 23 executive orders he signed in January of 2013. The study’s findings include: Gun-use is the safest of studied “self-protectivestrategies,” Suicide accounts for most firearm deaths, Felons who use guns very seldom obtain their guns bystealing them, and There is no evidence that gun restrictions reduce gunviolence. “Studies that directly assessed the effect of actualdefensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was ‘used’ by the crimevictim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have foundconsistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared withvictims who used other self-protective strategies,” the CDC study,entitled “Priorities For Research to Reduce the Threat of Firearm-RelatedViolence,” states. Researchers also found that the majority of firearm deathsare from suicide, not homicide. “Between the years 2000 and 2010,firearm-related suicides significantly outnumbered homicides for all agegroups, annually accounting for 61 percent of the more than 335,600 people whodied from firearm-related violence in the United States." “Most felons report obtaining the majority of their firearmsfrom informal sources,” adds the report, while “stolen guns account for only asmall percentage of guns used by convicted criminals.” The report expresses uncertainty about gun control measures,stating that “whether gun restrictions reduce firearm-related violence is anunresolved issue,” and that there is no evidence “that passage ofright-to-carry laws decrease or increase violence crime.” It also stated thatproposed “gun turn-in programs are ineffective.” Instead, researchers proposed gun safety technologies suchas “external locking devices and biometric --英文原文结束—
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发表于 2017-10-12 11:22
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